tag:blogger.com,1999:blog-1527840491496268397.post4756170030266782855..comments2024-03-08T11:20:30.095-07:00Comments on Credit Bubble Stocks: 2020 Prediction ContestUnknownnoreply@blogger.comBlogger5125tag:blogger.com,1999:blog-1527840491496268397.post-30476182350966049182020-01-12T16:45:05.350-07:002020-01-12T16:45:05.350-07:00Here are the questions (total of 68):
* A Category...Here are the questions (total of 68):<br />* A Category 3 hurricane makes... .45<br />* A tropical cyclone makes the list... .5<br />* Musk leaves Tesla for any reason... .15<br />* TSLA share price goes below $200... .2<br />* TSLA share price goes above $800... .25<br />* A now Dow 30 component files for BK ... .04<br />* At least 4 of HOSS, CRC, CHK, FTR, MNK, JCP file for BK... .3<br />* Frontier Communications pays its unsecured... .4<br />* 2020 US vehicle sales (autos and light trucks/SUVs) are lower... .4<br />* A players' strike occurs... .1<br />* Twitter is taken private or acquired... .2<br />* Boeing 737 MAX aircraft resume service in the U.S., the E.U., or Canada... .5<br />* China wins more medals... .1<br />* A terrorist attack using commercial drones... .3<br />* US life expectancy declines for a fourth... .5<br />* Cannabis is removed from the federal list... .2<br />* Donald Trump is re-elected... .7<br />* The Senate holds a Trump impeachment... .15<br />* US ends daylight savings time... .03<br />* One or more of Kim/Merkel/Saudis loses power... .3<br />* One or more of Macron, Trudeau, or Erdogan... .35<br />* A nuclear weapon is used in anger. .00<br />* BREXIT is finalize... .6<br />* Any two or more Epstein associates... .25<br />* A referendum on leaving the EU... .2<br />* Either Rep. AOC (D-NY) or Rep. Ilhan Omar (D-MN)... .05<br />* Trump pardons anyone... .2<br />* Either Buffett or Munger dies. .39<br />* Another Supreme Court seat opens. .3<br />* Pelosi is no longer the Speaker... .2<br />* Social Security benefits are unfavorably... .1<br />* Cryptocurrency combined market cap... .1<br />* The Flippening: Etherium... .02<br />* Any country leaves the Euro. .2<br />* A Euro hits $1 US. (EURUSD parity) at any time... .33<br />* Crude (WTIC) trades above ... .45<br />* Crude (WTIC) falls below... .1<br />* USDJPY below 100 at any point during the year. .2<br />* USDJPY above 130 at any point during the year. .12<br />* Federal Reserve bank balance sheet total assets... .4<br />* Federal Reserve raises target rate... .03<br />* Federal Reserve lowers target rate... .7<br />* The 13-week T-bill yield ($IRX) exceeds... .05<br />* The 13-week T-bill yield ($IRX) goes... .35<br />* Global negative yielding debt goes under $1 trillion ... .05<br />* The 10 year Treasury yield falls below ... .25 <br />* The 10 year Treasury yield rises above ... .2<br />* Any of the following countries' 10-year ... .3<br />* The 20+ year Treasury ETF (TLT) has a positive... .6<br />* Any country's sovereign debt that is currently... .4<br />* Total return of 1 year T-bill outperforms ... .15<br />* The S&P goes below 2,750 at any time... .25<br />* The S&P goes above 3,750 at any time... .6<br />* The BBB yield closes above 5%... .15<br />* A 2 year treasury yields... .4<br />* The S&P Retail ETF (XRT) outperforms... .45<br />* Gold trades below $1000/oz at any time during the year. .05 <br />* Gold trades above $2000/oz at any time during the year. .1<br />* Buying equal dollar basket... .15<br />* The CBOE Volatility Index ($VIX) exceeds 40... .3<br />* The CBOE Volatility Index ($VIX) exceeds its .02<br />* The most current 13F as of... .1<br />* The S&P has its largest one day... .01<br />* The S&P has a one day percentage... .12<br />* The S&P has a one day percentage... .08<br />* The Vanguard Balanced Index Fund... .75<br />* Hussman's fund (HSGFX) is up... .25<br />* BYND ends the year below its IPO day... .4<br /><br />ianbezek at yahoo<br />@irbezekIan Bezeknoreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-1527840491496268397.post-11501300949757731842020-01-12T14:24:08.598-07:002020-01-12T14:24:08.598-07:00bjdubbs is a big tennis guy?bjdubbs is a big tennis guy?League of Women Votersnoreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-1527840491496268397.post-54139162428770484062020-01-12T11:38:56.371-07:002020-01-12T11:38:56.371-07:00* A Category 3...50%
* A tropical cyclone...40%
* ...* A Category 3...50%<br />* A tropical cyclone...40%<br />* Musk leaves Tesla...20%<br />* TSLA share price...33%<br />* TSLA share price...33%<br />* Anow Dow 30...15%<br />* At least 4...20%<br />* Frontier Communications...33%<br />* 2020 US vehicle sales...33%<br />* A players' strike...20%<br />* Twitter is taken...15%<br />* Boeing 737 MAX...50%<br />* China wins more...50%<br />* A terrorist attack...20%<br />* US life expectancy...33%<br />* Cannabis is removed...20%<br />* Donald Trump is re-elected...55%<br />* The Senate holds...20%<br />* US ends...20%<br />* One or more...15%<br />* One or more...15%<br />* A nuclear weapon...0%<br />* BREXIT is finalized..66%<br />* Any two or more...15%<br />* A referendum on...15%<br />* Either Rep. AOC...15%<br />* Trump pardons anyone...20%<br />* Either Buffett...25%<br />* Another Supreme Court...25%<br />* Pelosi is no...25%<br />* Social Security benefits...15%<br />* Cryptocurrency combined market...20%<br />* The Flippening...15%<br />* Any country leaves...10%<br />* A Euro hits...10%<br />* Crude (WTIC) trades...50%<br />* Crude (WTIC) falls below...10%<br />* USDJPY below 100...33%<br />* USDJPY above 130...10%<br />* Federal Reserve...20%<br />* Federal Reserve raises...15%<br />* Federal Reserve lowers...50%<br />* The 13-week T-bill yield...10%<br />* The 13-week T-bill yield...33%<br />* Global negative yielding...33%<br />* The 10 year Treasury..33%<br />* The 10 year Treasury...35%<br />* Any of the following...33%<br />* The 20+ year Treasury...33%<br />* Any country's sovereign...20%<br />* Total return...25%<br />* The S&P goes...25%<br />* The S&P goes...50%<br />* The BBB yield...33%<br />* A 2 year treasury...20%<br />* The S&P Retail ETF...33%<br />* Gold trades below...10%<br />* Gold trades above...33%<br />* Buying equal dollar...33%<br />* The CBOE Volatility...33%<br />* The CBOE Volatility Index...15%<br />* The most current 13F...33%<br />* The S&P has its largest...5%<br />* The S&P has...20%<br />* The S&P has...20%<br />* The Vanguard...66%<br />* Hussman's fund...50%<br />* BYND ends...51%inner_scorecardhttps://twitter.com/inner_scorecardnoreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-1527840491496268397.post-72617320537505774582020-01-12T03:09:37.516-07:002020-01-12T03:09:37.516-07:00https://docs.google.com/spreadsheets/d/19CjGYk-2FP...https://docs.google.com/spreadsheets/d/19CjGYk-2FPboziN73KJvklGNRhyvamXoDMMz25BAtQs/edit?usp=sharing<br /> <br /><br />@sonimantennisbjdubbsnoreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-1527840491496268397.post-85731920701223256572020-01-09T12:29:14.268-07:002020-01-09T12:29:14.268-07:00Russia invades and conquers Finland .90Russia invades and conquers Finland .90Anonymousnoreply@blogger.com