Credit Bubble Stocks
Saturday, June 11, 2011
When the Smart Group Becomes a Dumb Herd
WSJ:
"The scientists then gave their subjects access to the guesses of the other members of the group. As a result, they were able to adjust their subsequent estimates based on the feedback of the crowd. The results were depressing. All of a sudden, the range of guesses dramatically narrowed; people were
mindlessly imitating each other
. Instead of canceling out their errors, they
ended up magnifying their biases
, which is why each round led to worse guesses."
1 comment:
EconomicDisconnect
June 12, 2011 at 3:13 PM
Nice link, pretty amazing.
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Nice link, pretty amazing.
ReplyDelete