Thursday, December 3, 2009

Sold More YRCW

Synthetically and by buying puts. Paying a premium but I think it's worth it.

3 comments:

PD said...

what is the premise for the YRCW short- the massive dilution? i haven't had time to look at...

CP said...

Assuming 100% participation by bondholders in the exchange offer:

The current equity gets 5% of new equity, and then the union gets cut in for 20% of the new equity after that, and then management gets cut in for 5%.

So current equity = 0.95*0.8*0.05 = 3.8% of new equity.

Current equity valuation is $71 million which implies the post restructuring equity would be worth $1.86 billion. That is more than the entire enterprise value today.

PD said...

hmm... i will look more tomorrow.