Sunday, March 27, 2011

This Week's Hussman Column

Good observations from Hussman, as always:

Last week, a number of Fed officials came out in tandem with essentially the same message - the Fed's policy of quantitative easing is likely to end with QE2. It's important to think carefully about the implications of this for the markets.
First, what happens when QE2 is complete? From our standpoint, it is incontrovertible that the primary factor behind the market's recent advance has been speculation based on the belief, explicitly encouraged by Bernanke, that the Fed would provide a backstop for risk-taking. Investors clearly took Bernanke at his word. But without yet another round of QE, not to mention the potential for an unwinding of existing QE, a decline in speculative enthusiasm will likely have the identical effect as an increase in risk aversion.

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