Taleb Essay on the Future

Taleb's new book is getting some bad reviews (some reasonable), partly justified, but he still has interesting things to say:

"To understand the future, you do not need techno-autistic jargon, obsession with 'killer apps,' these sort of things. You just need the following: some respect for the past, some curiosity about the historical record, a hunger for the wisdom of the elders, and a grasp of the notion of 'heuristics,' these often unwritten rules of thumb that are so determining of survival. In other words, you will be forced to give weight to things that have been around, things that have survived."